BLYTHE
FINANCIAL

 

Blind Faith


  A gimme in Financial Advice seems to be that Equity (or Stockmarket) investments are the best bet for the long term.  
  There is good reason for this, in December 1974 the FTSE AllShare Index stood at 61, in November 2001 it was around 2,500.  
     • £100 invested in the stockmarket in 1974 could now be worth £4,000
     and on top there could have been (say) a 2.5% yield (dividends) each
     year.
 
     • £100 invested in the building society could now be worth £300 if none
     of the income was spent.
 
  But should we have blind faith?  
  Clearly the answer is no. Equity investment is only appropriate if you accept the risk that investments can fall as well as rise. Getting the timing right is not possible – you might fluke it but no-one can predict with any degree of certainty, how the markets might fair over the next year let alone the next ten years.  
  Although the perceived wisdom is that the long term will iron out short term falls – it is not a gimme. The FTSE AllShare Index all time high was in September 2000 when it stood at over 3,200. It might never be reached again or if the past is replicated (with long periods of high inflation) it could stand at 99,959 in 27 years time!  
  So question what you feel about this risk and try to achieve a balance you are comfortable with.  
   
   

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Last updated: 5 July 2010

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